I think I made a “thinking outside of the box” mistake

Of course I’m not 100% certain, but I think that years ago I made a mistake — one that has only really hit me with full force in the past couple weeks.

It’s actually a very simple matter: What I once considered to be a dichotomy is probably more of a trichotomy… and this three-state approach used in information retrieval logic is of immense importance (I may be overusing the three-state logic metaphor somewhat, but I am confident enough that it is valid to say “I don’t think so”).

This new and more nuanced approach helps to explain why the web is perhaps not as “scientific” as traditional professional, research and science publishing media are. In particular: the repercussions of the failure to distinguish all three aspects of the trichotomy may lead to grave errors that affect the measurement of data, and the assessment of reliability and validity of the shared data.

:|

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Inside Baseball

There is a very interesting discussion that my friend Anil Dash linked to — here’s the starting point: How do blogs need to evolve? I find it particularly fascinating because this discussion reflects many of the topics I have been addressing over the past several weeks (if you haven’t been following them — well, then that’s your problem, not mine! ;) )

I will mosey on over and suggest to Anil that he invite Matt Mullenweg and/or John Battelle to this discussion — those are two additional perspectives I would really appreciate having in the Mix. Oh, and also Dave Winer, of course (who wrote a very nice introductory piece that is also linked to in the above discussion: “What is Relative Writing?”). In my opinion, these voices (and probably some others, too — maybe Pierre Omidyar?) would add even more perspectives to an already fascinating discussion.

Note that (with respect to the “ownership” topic) I have always maintained that language cannot be owned — see also a recent example of my writing regarding this: “Barry Diller (and some others) get how brands, brand names and the Wisdom of the Language work better than Mark Zuckerberg and most social media wonks do“.

Look forward to following this discussion some more — and I also do wonder why the discussion participants are having this discussion on one domain… — couldn’t the central location simply list the RSS feeds that are dedicated to this particular discussion? ;)

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This is RIDICULOUS

Facebook is ridiculous… — there — I said it!

Last night I was chatting with a facebook friend — who is very knowledgeable in her field and by no means a dummy in any regard — about an update she made regarding her “hometown” (the German city named “Essen”). I joked that the city has a domain name that could easily be worth a billion dollars. My friend had found it odd that it showed that she was “at” Essen rather than “from” Essen. I followed the link and found out that she had actually listed a company called “Essen” rather than the city named “Essen” as her hometown. This is, however, not user error — the facebook interface is extremely limited and not user-friendly. I have at times found it impossible to link to the information I intended to link to.

In my opinion, the writing is on the wall for facebook.com. This is no longer a viable platform for users to use in a utilitarian way. It has now become a utility that enables companies to use users. Anyone who thinks this website is worth US$ 100 billion is a moron.

I have heard that the going rate to get an Indian child to click “Like” is about 5 cents — so 10,000 “Likes” cost about $500. What is odd is that this (reliable, but perhaps somewhat confused) informant also was “amazed” at how good facebook was at preventing spam. This is the sort of disconnect that has a lot of people not questioning the facebook valuation.

Google, Twitter, Facebook,… — these are all gigantic melting pots in which morsels of information get flooded in a deluge of misinformation. That is the business model: To drown out any meaningful information, such that companies must pay money in the hope of maybe getting some kind of message across.

I no longer see any value in this, and I honestly cannot fathom why any company would have an interest in being associated with such ridiculous nonsense. In my opinion this is the online equivalent of a tabloid newspaper — only worse, because tabloid newspapers at least have enough sense to actually pay for the kind sensationalism that will attract gawkers consistently.

I am not going to close my facebook account yet (though I wonder if perhaps the facebook management team might?)… but I am now officially looking for a comparable platform that is not run by people who are cutesy clowns, but rather by people who are actually reasonable — and who also expect their users to have brains rather just eyeballs. Oh, how I miss omidyar.net! :|

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Word!

Mark Zuckerberg (and the facebook.com executive team) need/s to pay attention to this.

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There is a reality that haunts the United States of America today — the reality of economic planning

If you’re not too big to fail, then you’re probably too small to matter:

the existence of important agglomeration economies immediately implies that there are social consequences to the success or failure of an individual firm that aren’t captured by the profit and loss statement of that firm alone. Let General Motors fail, and the resulting collapse of its suppliers will hurt other firms too, possibly driving them out of business too.

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Why do some dogs have short tails and other dogs have long tails?

According to Mark Pagel, the answer must be that the length of one dog’s tail versus the length another dog’s tail is not a “functionally equivalent trait”.

But the much more important question I have for Mark Pagel is: How did the Papuan man he speaks of both understand his question and also know the answer he gave? ;)

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On Every Street

The other day I was asked whether my ideas have been collected somewhere — sort of like an anthology in book form. They haven’t, but I am of course flattered that this question was raised. If you think you might want to read more or less everything that I write, then I wish to simply note something Ray Davies sang many years ago: it doesn’t matter who you are.

There are many roads leading to Rome — and because I care about a lot of things, you can probably find me on every street.

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Occupy Search Engines! ;)

Yesterday a friend of mine shared this funny video:

What is not funny, though, is when the joke is on you!

;)

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800 million people helped facebook.com, not the other way around

We have already helped more than 800 million people map out more than 100 billion connections so far, and our goal is to help this rewiring accelerate.

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The difference between New World 1.0 and New World 2.0

Following up on the signs of the times, I want to now explain some significant differences between the “real” New World and the “virtual” New World. In order to simplify this exercise, I will not take such a broad view of the real New World as is commonly done. Instead of using broad strokes to paint a picture of the real New World, covering the past 6 centuries since the 15th Century, I will focus on one puny, tiny, but nonetheless very significant detail: the United States Homestead Act signed into law by President Abraham Lincoln in 1862. The basic idea behind this was to fill up “empty land”… — that this land was not actually empty is not the point here. I do not wish to downplay the way settlers treated native american indians (namely, quote poorly). Here, I simply wish to make different observations using this example.

The point I wish to make is that the settlement of “real” property (New World Settlement 1.0) follows a different pattern than the settlement of “virtual” property (New World Settlement 2.0). The most basic, fundamental and important differences are:

  • Cost to Settle
  1. 1.0 High
  2. 2.0 Low
  • Reward to Settlers
  1. 1.0 Low
  2. 2.0 High
  • Choice of Location
  1. 1.0 Relatively insignificant
  2. 2.0 Highly significant

For each of the above aspects, the New World 1.0 attribute shows why the Homestead Act made sense.

Likewise, for each of the above aspects, the New World 2.0 attribute shows why some domain names still appear to be “unused” parking lots, while the vast majority of domain names that are in fact presently being used are nonetheless by and large worthless.

Unlike real world real estate, the cost of moving content stored on virtual world real estate is negligible. However, compared to the real world, the cost of finding / locating virtual world property is relatively high (in the real world, all you have to do to find property is to open your eyes; in the virtual world, you need to understand how language and linguistic expressions are used to locate relevant information).

Since only a few people understand how the “Wisdom of the Language” works, and since the transaction costs of transferring data from one domain name to another domain name are negligible, the value of domain names varies widely — ranging from nothing more than the registration fee of just a couple bucks to billions of dollars for the most valuable domain names (such as “shopping” or “weather”).

As the rate of online literacy increases, so will the market prices for valuable domain names. In contrast, I expect that the market valuations for worthless domain names will plummet as more people become more literate. In other words: there is every reason to expect that the wide variation in the valuation of domain names will continue to become even more pronounced over the foreseeable future.

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